How does the Daily Mail/J.L. Partners election model actually work? READ MORE: Follow the day's latest political developments on our live blog We are headed for the closest election in decades. With ...

Every day for the past three weeks since Joe Biden’s debate performance in Atlanta, polls have shown more and more bad news for Biden — all of it amplified and darkened by professional election ...

—The Time for Change model suggests that presidential elections are largely determined by three factors: the popularity of the incumbent president, the state of the economy, and the number of terms ...

A new model updates US election forecasts. This is by drawing on daily data, driven by the odds market. The model comes from a Northwestern University data scientist. Using these data, the new ...

Donald Trump’s campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News’ 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it “a suppression tool” and calling for ABC ...

Our forecasting model for America’s legislative elections is trained on every congressional race since 1984, and makes use of data on these contests going back to 1942. It calculates its predictions ...

When an election result is disputed, people who are skeptical about the outcome may be swayed by figures of authority who come down on one side or the other. Those figures can be independent monitors, ...

“It’s gotten so bad that people have been telling me that somehow I can’t do predictions because I am wearing a wig,” said Allan Lichtman from his home outside Washington, D.C., where he is enduring ...

Elections are a well-documented example of collective human decision-making, with voting data available for elections globally over several decades. SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow Aanjaneya Kumar, ...